吴志远：中国的持久战：假如攻台失败？
Shunshun(Emerson) Xu (Tsui)'s translation into Chinese of Joel Wuthnow's article "China's Forever War: What if a Taiwan Invasion Fails" for the Carter Center's U.S.-China Perception Monitor.
吴志远：中国的持久战：假如攻台失败？
“中国的持久战：假如攻台失败？”（China’s Forever War: What If A Taiwan Invasion Fails）一文的作者为美国国防大学中国军事事务研究中心（Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs）高级研究员吴志远博士（Joel Wuthnow）。文章指出，实现台湾统一是中国的重要战略目标。然而，一旦军事行动未能如愿，其对中国国内政治、军事战略及国际关系的深远影响将不容忽视。本文深入探讨了在假设的失败情景下，中国可能如何调整其在台海问题上的未来行动策略。请点击【链接】访问原文。本文译者为本站特约撰稿人徐宇深（Emerson Tsui）。作者授权本站翻译并发表此文。
Dr. Joel Wuthnow is a senior research fellow in the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs within the Institute for National Strategic Studies at NDU. His research areas include Chinese foreign and security policy, Chinese military affairs, U.S.-China relations, and strategic developments in East Asia. In addition to his duties in INSS, he also serves as an adjunct professor in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University.
His recent books and monographs, all from NDU Press, include Gray Dragons: Assessing China's Senior Military Leadership (2022), Crossing the Strait: China's Military Prepares for War with Taiwan (2022, lead editor), The PLA Beyond Borders: Chinese Military Operations in Regional and Global Context (2021, lead editor), System Overload: Can China's Military Be Distracted in a War over Taiwan? (2020), and Chairman Xi Remakes the PLA: Assessing Chinese Military Reforms (2019, co-editor). His research and commentary has also appeared in outlets such as Asia Policy, Asian Security, China Leadership Monitor, The China Quarterly, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Joint Force Quarterly, Journal of Contemporary China, Journal of Strategic Studies, Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Naval War College Review, and in edited volumes.
Prior to joining NDU, Dr. Wuthnow was a China analyst at CNA, a postdoctoral fellow in the China and the World Program at Princeton University, and a pre-doctoral fellow at The Brookings Institution. His degrees are from Princeton University (A.B., summa cum laude, in Public and International Affairs), Oxford University (M.Phil. in Modern Chinese Studies), and Columbia University (Ph.D. in Political Science). He is proficient in Mandarin.
Photo Credit: https://zmyinxiang.org/2024/12/bianyi/joel-wuthnow-on-taiwan-invasion/
