"Taiwan And The “One-China Principle” In The Age Of COVID-19: Assessing The Determinants And Limits Of Chinese Influence" - By CWP Alum Scott L. Kastner
During the current global COVID-19 crisis Taiwan has portrayed itself as both an example for other countries to follow and as a country willing to assist others in their own efforts with the virus. Taiwan has also renewed efforts to participate in the World Health Organization (WHO), an organisation from which it is currently excluded. Although some countries have supported Taiwan's efforts to participate in the WHO or have praised its COVID-19 response, others have been silent or even critical, sometimes citing commitments to a “one China policy.” In this paper, we use newly collected data to explore cross-national variation in support for Taiwan during the current pandemic. We find that a country's level of economic development and security ties with the US are strongly correlated with support for Taiwan while a country's economic ties to China is a less consistent predictor.
摘要
在当前的全球新冠疫情下，台湾不仅把自己描绘成一个可供其他国家效仿的榜样，而且把自己描绘成一个愿意帮助其他国家抗击病毒的国家。台湾还重新努力加入目前它被排除在外的世界卫生组织。尽管一些国家支持台湾加入世界卫生组织的努力，或赞扬台湾对新冠疫情的应对，其他国家则保持沉默，有时甚至援引 “一个中国” 政策对台湾提出批评。在本文中，我们利用新收集的数据，探讨在当前疫情期间各国对台湾的支持的差异。我们发现，一国的经济发展水平和与美国的安全关系与其对台支持程度密切相关，而一个国家与中国的经济联系则是一个不那么稳定的预测因素。
Scott L. Kastner is a Professor in the Department of Government and Politics, University of Maryland, College Park. He graduated from Cornell University (1995), and received his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of California, San Diego (2003). Much of Kastner's research focuses on the international politics of East Asia, and he teaches classes on international relations, US-China relations, international political economy, and East Asia. He is author of War and Peace in the Taiwan Strait (Columbia University Press, forthcoming), China’s Strategic Multilateralism: Investing in Global Governance (with Margaret Pearson and Chad Rector, Cambridge University Press, 2019) and Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond (Stanford University Press, 2009). His work has also appeared in journals such as International Security, Journal of Conflict Resolution, International Studies Quarterly, Comparative Political Studies, Security Studies, and Journal of Contemporary China.
Photo Credit: By Office of the President, Republic of China - Flickr, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=89118977
