'The Prospects For Cross Strait Relations In 2023 And Beyond' A GTI Discussion With CWP Alum Scott Kastner

December 21, 2022

The Global Taiwan Institute (GTI) is pleased to invite you to a virtual seminar titled “The Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations in 2023 and Beyond.” 2022 was a highly eventful year for Taiwan and developments related to Taiwan. These included—but were not limited to—increasingly coercive People’s Republic of China (PRC) military activity directed at Taiwan; US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, and the subsequent provocative PRC military exercises conducted around the island; the release of a revised PRC official white paper that further asserted Beijing’s claims over Taiwan; and a meeting between US President Joe Biden and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping, which reportedly included Xi’s assertions of the PRC’s “red lines” over Taiwan. The final months of 2022 also saw important political events in the United States, the PRC, and Taiwan: in the United States, the mid-term elections; in the PRC, the 20th Party Congress of the CCP; and in Taiwan, the “nine-in-one” local elections for country and municipal governments.

Each of these events and developments, in distinctive ways, could influence the future direction of politics and geopolitics in the Indo-Pacific region. Looking ahead to 2023, what trends should we expect to see in relations between the United States and China, and across the Taiwan Strait? Are there any realistic prospects for thawing the deadlocked relations between Beijing and Taipei? Will the results of Taiwan’s recent local elections, which featured a strong performance by the opposition Kuomintang (KMT), alter the dynamics of cross-Strait ties, or not? Will there be any relaxation of the PRC’s military and political coercive pressure directed at the island and its people, or will it only intensify during Xi’s third term in office? How will the growing relationship between the United States and Taiwan likely to develop in the year ahead, in the face of determined opposition from Beijing?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UIu9VnyoOFk


 

Dr. Scott L. Kastner is a professor in the Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland. Dr. Kastner's research focuses on the international politics of East Asia, and he is the author of War and Peace in the Taiwan Strait (2022), China’s Strategic Multilateralism: Investing in Global Governance (with Margaret Pearson and Chad Rector, 2019) and Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond (2009). His work has also appeared in journals such as International SecurityJournal of Conflict ResolutionInternational Studies QuarterlyComparative Political StudiesSecurity Studies, and Journal of Contemporary China. He received his PhD in political science from the University of California, San Diego.


Photo Credit: https://pixabay.com/users/%E9%AB%98%E6%8D%B7-25893287/

Scott Kastner